Borussia Dortmund vs Sc Paderborn 07
🇩🇪 Bundesliga · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2.2
Borussia Dortmund xG
Expected goals
1
SC Freiburg xG
56%
Both Teams to Score
62%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
2–0
10%
2–1
10%
1–0
9%
1–1
9%
3–0
7%
3–1
7%
Home
Borussia Dortmund
PPG
1.80
Avg goals
1.9 / 0.9
Last 5
3W 0D 2L
Away
SC Freiburg
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
1.9 / 1.8
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Borussia Dortmund vs Sc Paderborn 07?
Borussia Dortmund is favored with a 65% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Borussia Dortmund's current form?
Borussia Dortmund have recorded 3W 0D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.2.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 2–0 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 56%. Over 2.5 goals: 62%.
⚡ Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Your Prediction
Pick a winner
Match Odds
Find prediction markets →
Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi
More from Bundesliga