Borussia Dortmundvs
Bayer Leverkusen
GER Bundesliga · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.5
Borussia Dortmund xG
Expected goals
1
Bayer Leverkusen xG
49%
Both Teams to Score
46%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–0
12%
1–1
12%
2–0
9%
2–1
9%
0–0
8%
0–1
8%
Home
Borussia Dortmund
PPG
1.60
Avg goals
1.6 / 0.7
Last 5
2W 2D 1L
Away
Bayer Leverkusen
PPG
2.60
Avg goals
2.7 / 1.5
Last 5
4W 1D 0L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Borussia Dortmund vs Bayer Leverkusen?
Borussia Dortmund is favored with a 49% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Borussia Dortmund's current form?
Borussia Dortmund have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.5.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 49%. Over 2.5 goals: 46%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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