Bayern Munichvs
Borussia Dortmund
GER Bundesliga · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.7
Bayern Munich xG
Expected goals
1
Borussia Dortmund xG
52%
Both Teams to Score
51%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–0
11%
1–1
11%
2–0
10%
2–1
10%
0–0
7%
0–1
7%
Home
Bayern Munich
PPG
2.20
Avg goals
3.1 / 0.9
Last 5
3W 2D 0L
Away
Borussia Dortmund
PPG
2.20
Avg goals
2.1 / 0.9
Last 5
3W 2D 0L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Bayern Munich vs Borussia Dortmund?
Bayern Munich is favored with a 53% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Bayern Munich's current form?
Bayern Munich have recorded 3W 2D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.7.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 52%. Over 2.5 goals: 51%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
More from Bundesliga