Match Analysis

Bayern MunichvsBorussia Dortmund

GER Bundesliga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

53%
24%
23%
Bayern Munich winDrawBorussia Dortmund win

Key Stats

2.20Points per game2.20
3.13Avg goals scored2.14
0.93Avg goals conceded0.91
3–2–0Record (W–D–L)3–2–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.7

Bayern Munich xG

Expected goals

1

Borussia Dortmund xG

52%

Both Teams to Score

51%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–0

11%

1–1

11%

2–0

10%

2–1

10%

0–0

7%

0–1

7%

Home

Bayern Munich

Bayern Munich

DDWWW

PPG

2.20

Avg goals

3.1 / 0.9

Last 5

3W 2D 0L

Away

Borussia Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund

DDWWW

PPG

2.20

Avg goals

2.1 / 0.9

Last 5

3W 2D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Bayern Munich vs Borussia Dortmund?

Bayern Munich is favored with a 53% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Bayern Munich's current form?

Bayern Munich have recorded 3W 2D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.7.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 52%. Over 2.5 goals: 51%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Bayern Munich Win53%
Draw24%
Borussia Dortmund Win23%
BTTS52%
Over 2.551%