Match Analysis

1. FC Union BerlinvsFC Cologne

GER Bundesliga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

13%
16%
71%
1. FC Union Berlin winDrawFC Cologne win

Key Stats

0.40Points per game1.00
0.92Avg goals scored1.59
3.10Avg goals conceded1.84
0–2–3Record (W–D–L)1–2–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1

1. FC Union Berlin xG

Expected goals

2.6

FC Cologne xG

59%

Both Teams to Score

70%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–2

9%

1–2

9%

0–3

8%

1–3

8%

0–1

7%

1–1

7%

Home

1. FC Union Berlin

1. FC Union Berlin

DLLLD

PPG

0.40

Avg goals

0.9 / 3.1

Last 5

0W 2D 3L

Away

FC Cologne

FC Cologne

DLDLW

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.6 / 1.8

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win 1. FC Union Berlin vs FC Cologne?

FC Cologne is favored with a 71% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is 1. FC Union Berlin's current form?

1. FC Union Berlin have recorded 0W 2D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–2 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 59%. Over 2.5 goals: 70%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

1. FC Union Berlin Win13%
Draw16%
FC Cologne Win71%
BTTS59%
Over 2.570%