Match Analysis

VitóriavsSantos

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

31%
22%
47%
Vitória winDrawSantos win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game1.60
1.28Avg goals scored1.72
1.47Avg goals conceded1.36
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.5

Vitória xG

Expected goals

1.9

Santos xG

66%

Both Teams to Score

66%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

10%

1–2

9%

2–1

7%

2–2

7%

0–1

6%

0–2

6%

Home

Vitória

Vitória

DWLDW

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.3 / 1.5

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Santos

Santos

DDWWL

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.7 / 1.4

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Vitória vs Santos?

Santos is favored with a 47% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Vitória's current form?

Vitória have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.5.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 66%. Over 2.5 goals: 66%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Vitória Win31%
Draw22%
Santos Win47%
BTTS66%
Over 2.566%