Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.7
Vitória xG
Expected goals
2.1
Cruzeiro xG
72%
Both Teams to Score
73%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–1
8%
1–2
8%
2–1
7%
2–2
7%
1–3
6%
0–1
5%
Home
Vitória
PPG
1.60
Avg goals
1.3 / 1.5
Last 5
2W 2D 1L
Away
Cruzeiro
PPG
2.00
Avg goals
1.9 / 1.5
Last 5
3W 1D 1L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Vitória vs Cruzeiro?
Cruzeiro is favored with a 48% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Vitória's current form?
Vitória have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.7.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 72%. Over 2.5 goals: 73%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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