Vitóriavs
Chapecoense
BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2.6
Vitória xG
Expected goals
1.1
Chapecoense xG
62%
Both Teams to Score
71%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
2–1
9%
2–0
8%
3–1
8%
1–1
7%
3–0
7%
1–0
6%
Home
Vitória
PPG
1.60
Avg goals
1.3 / 1.5
Last 5
2W 2D 1L
Away
Chapecoense
PPG
1.00
Avg goals
1.0 / 2.4
Last 5
1W 2D 2L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Vitória vs Chapecoense?
Vitória is favored with a 71% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Vitória's current form?
Vitória have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.6.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 62%. Over 2.5 goals: 71%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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