Vitóriavs
Athletico-PR
BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.8
Vitória xG
Expected goals
2.6
Athletico-PR xG
77%
Both Teams to Score
81%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–2
7%
2–2
7%
1–1
6%
1–3
6%
2–3
6%
2–1
5%
Home
Vitória
PPG
1.60
Avg goals
1.3 / 1.5
Last 5
2W 2D 1L
Away
Athletico-PR
PPG
1.20
Avg goals
2.3 / 1.6
Last 5
1W 3D 1L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Vitória vs Athletico-PR?
Athletico-PR is favored with a 55% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Vitória's current form?
Vitória have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.8.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (7% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 77%. Over 2.5 goals: 81%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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