Vasco da Gamavs
Vitória
BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.8
Vasco da Gama xG
Expected goals
0.9
Vitória xG
50%
Both Teams to Score
51%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–0
12%
1–1
11%
2–0
11%
2–1
10%
0–0
7%
3–0
7%
Home
Vasco da Gama
PPG
2.20
Avg goals
1.4 / 1.0
Last 5
3W 2D 0L
Away
Vitória
PPG
1.60
Avg goals
1.3 / 1.5
Last 5
2W 2D 1L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Vasco da Gama vs Vitória?
Vasco da Gama is favored with a 57% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Vasco da Gama's current form?
Vasco da Gama have recorded 3W 2D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.8.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 50%. Over 2.5 goals: 51%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
More from Brazilian Série A