Vasco da Gamavs
Flamengo
BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model0.9
Vasco da Gama xG
Expected goals
1.4
Flamengo xG
45%
Both Teams to Score
40%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–1
14%
1–1
13%
0–0
10%
0–2
10%
1–0
9%
1–2
9%
Home
Vasco da Gama
PPG
2.20
Avg goals
1.4 / 1.0
Last 5
3W 2D 0L
Away
Flamengo
PPG
1.80
Avg goals
1.9 / 0.7
Last 5
2W 3D 0L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Vasco da Gama vs Flamengo?
Flamengo is favored with a 49% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Vasco da Gama's current form?
Vasco da Gama have recorded 3W 2D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.9.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (14% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 45%. Over 2.5 goals: 40%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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