Vasco da Gamavs
Coritiba
BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2.8
Vasco da Gama xG
Expected goals
0.8
Coritiba xG
52%
Both Teams to Score
70%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
2–0
11%
3–0
10%
2–1
9%
1–0
8%
3–1
8%
4–0
7%
Home
Vasco da Gama
PPG
2.20
Avg goals
1.4 / 1.0
Last 5
3W 2D 0L
Away
Coritiba
PPG
0.40
Avg goals
1.1 / 2.3
Last 5
0W 2D 3L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Vasco da Gama vs Coritiba?
Vasco da Gama is favored with a 78% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Vasco da Gama's current form?
Vasco da Gama have recorded 3W 2D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.8.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 2–0 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 52%. Over 2.5 goals: 70%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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