Match Analysis

São PaulovsVitória

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

41%
29%
30%
São Paulo winDrawVitória win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game1.00
1.00Avg goals scored1.24
1.08Avg goals conceded1.40
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)1–2–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.2

São Paulo xG

Expected goals

1

Vitória xG

44%

Both Teams to Score

38%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–0

13%

1–1

13%

0–0

11%

0–1

11%

2–0

8%

2–1

8%

Home

São Paulo

São Paulo

DWLLW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.0 / 1.1

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Vitória

Vitória

DLWLD

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.2 / 1.4

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win São Paulo vs Vitória?

São Paulo is favored with a 41% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is São Paulo's current form?

São Paulo have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 44%. Over 2.5 goals: 38%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

São Paulo Win41%
Draw29%
Vitória Win30%
BTTS44%
Over 2.538%