Match Analysis

São PaulovsSantos

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

32%
26%
42%
São Paulo winDrawSantos win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game1.60
1.00Avg goals scored1.72
1.08Avg goals conceded1.36
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.2

São Paulo xG

Expected goals

1.4

Santos xG

53%

Both Teams to Score

48%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

12%

0–1

10%

1–0

9%

1–2

9%

0–0

7%

0–2

7%

Home

São Paulo

São Paulo

DWLLW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.0 / 1.1

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Santos

Santos

DDWWL

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.7 / 1.4

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win São Paulo vs Santos?

Santos is favored with a 42% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is São Paulo's current form?

São Paulo have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 53%. Over 2.5 goals: 48%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

São Paulo Win32%
Draw26%
Santos Win42%
BTTS53%
Over 2.548%