Match Analysis

São PaulovsCorinthians

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

56%
24%
20%
São Paulo winDrawCorinthians win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game0.00
1.00Avg goals scored1.01
1.26Avg goals conceded2.02
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)0–0–5

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.7

São Paulo xG

Expected goals

1

Corinthians xG

52%

Both Teams to Score

51%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–0

11%

1–1

11%

2–0

10%

2–1

10%

0–0

7%

0–1

7%

Home

São Paulo

São Paulo

DLLWD

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.0 / 1.3

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

Corinthians

Corinthians

LLLLL

PPG

0.00

Avg goals

1.0 / 2.0

Last 5

0W 0D 5L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win São Paulo vs Corinthians?

São Paulo is favored with a 56% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is São Paulo's current form?

São Paulo have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.7.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 52%. Over 2.5 goals: 51%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

São Paulo Win56%
Draw24%
Corinthians Win20%
BTTS52%
Over 2.551%