São Paulovs
Corinthians
BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.7
São Paulo xG
Expected goals
1
Corinthians xG
52%
Both Teams to Score
51%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–0
11%
1–1
11%
2–0
10%
2–1
10%
0–0
7%
0–1
7%
Home
São Paulo
PPG
1.00
Avg goals
1.0 / 1.3
Last 5
1W 2D 2L
Away
Corinthians
PPG
0.00
Avg goals
1.0 / 2.0
Last 5
0W 0D 5L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win São Paulo vs Corinthians?
São Paulo is favored with a 56% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is São Paulo's current form?
São Paulo have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.7.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 52%. Over 2.5 goals: 51%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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