Match Analysis

SantosvsPalmeiras

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

18%
23%
59%
Santos winDrawPalmeiras win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game1.60
1.72Avg goals scored1.81
1.36Avg goals conceded0.62
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.9

Santos xG

Expected goals

1.8

Palmeiras xG

50%

Both Teams to Score

51%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–1

12%

0–2

11%

1–1

11%

1–2

10%

0–0

7%

0–3

7%

Home

Santos

Santos

DDWWL

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.7 / 1.4

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Palmeiras

Palmeiras

DWWDL

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.8 / 0.6

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Santos vs Palmeiras?

Palmeiras is favored with a 59% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Santos's current form?

Santos have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.9.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 50%. Over 2.5 goals: 51%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Santos Win18%
Draw23%
Palmeiras Win59%
BTTS50%
Over 2.551%