Match Analysis

SantosvsGrêmio

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

60%
21%
19%
Santos winDrawGrêmio win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game0.60
1.72Avg goals scored0.99
1.36Avg goals conceded1.34
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)0–3–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2

Santos xG

Expected goals

1

Grêmio xG

55%

Both Teams to Score

58%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–0

10%

1–1

10%

2–0

10%

2–1

10%

3–0

7%

3–1

7%

Home

Santos

Santos

DDWWL

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.7 / 1.4

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Grêmio

Grêmio

DDDLL

PPG

0.60

Avg goals

1.0 / 1.3

Last 5

0W 3D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Santos vs Grêmio?

Santos is favored with a 60% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Santos's current form?

Santos have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 55%. Over 2.5 goals: 58%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Santos Win60%
Draw21%
Grêmio Win19%
BTTS55%
Over 2.558%