Match Analysis

SantosvsFlamengo

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

21%
22%
57%
Santos winDrawFlamengo win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game1.80
1.72Avg goals scored1.95
1.36Avg goals conceded0.74
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)2–3–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.1

Santos xG

Expected goals

2

Flamengo xG

58%

Both Teams to Score

60%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

10%

1–2

10%

0–1

9%

0–2

9%

1–3

7%

0–3

6%

Home

Santos

Santos

DDWWL

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.7 / 1.4

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Flamengo

Flamengo

DDWDW

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

1.9 / 0.7

Last 5

2W 3D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Santos vs Flamengo?

Flamengo is favored with a 57% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Santos's current form?

Santos have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 58%. Over 2.5 goals: 60%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Santos Win21%
Draw22%
Flamengo Win57%
BTTS58%
Over 2.560%