Match Analysis

SantosvsBotafogo

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

64%
20%
16%
Santos winDrawBotafogo win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game1.00
1.72Avg goals scored0.94
1.36Avg goals conceded1.44
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)1–2–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.1

Santos xG

Expected goals

1

Botafogo xG

55%

Both Teams to Score

60%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–0

10%

2–1

10%

1–0

9%

1–1

9%

3–0

7%

3–1

7%

Home

Santos

Santos

DDWWL

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.7 / 1.4

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Botafogo

Botafogo

DLLWD

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

0.9 / 1.4

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Santos vs Botafogo?

Santos is favored with a 64% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Santos's current form?

Santos have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–0 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 55%. Over 2.5 goals: 60%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Santos Win64%
Draw20%
Botafogo Win16%
BTTS55%
Over 2.560%