Match Analysis

SantosvsBahia

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

40%
25%
35%
Santos winDrawBahia win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game1.40
1.72Avg goals scored1.40
1.36Avg goals conceded1.03
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.5

Santos xG

Expected goals

1.4

Bahia xG

59%

Both Teams to Score

55%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

12%

2–1

9%

0–1

8%

1–0

8%

1–2

8%

0–0

6%

Home

Santos

Santos

DDWWL

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.7 / 1.4

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Bahia

Bahia

DLLWW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.4 / 1.0

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Santos vs Bahia?

Santos is favored with a 40% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Santos's current form?

Santos have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.5.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 59%. Over 2.5 goals: 55%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Santos Win40%
Draw25%
Bahia Win35%
BTTS59%
Over 2.555%