Match Analysis

Red Bull BragantinovsMirassol

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

38%
26%
36%
Red Bull Bragantino winDrawMirassol win

Key Stats

0.60Points per game1.20
1.30Avg goals scored1.25
1.43Avg goals conceded1.21
0–3–2Record (W–D–L)1–3–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.4

Red Bull Bragantino xG

Expected goals

1.3

Mirassol xG

55%

Both Teams to Score

51%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

12%

0–1

9%

1–0

9%

2–1

9%

1–2

8%

0–0

7%

Home

Red Bull Bragantino

Red Bull Bragantino

DDLLD

PPG

0.60

Avg goals

1.3 / 1.4

Last 5

0W 3D 2L

Away

Mirassol

Mirassol

DLDWD

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

1.2 / 1.2

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Red Bull Bragantino vs Mirassol?

Red Bull Bragantino is favored with a 38% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Red Bull Bragantino's current form?

Red Bull Bragantino have recorded 0W 3D 2L in their last 5 matches (0.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 55%. Over 2.5 goals: 51%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Red Bull Bragantino Win38%
Draw26%
Mirassol Win36%
BTTS55%
Over 2.551%