Match Analysis

Red Bull BragantinovsChapecoense

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

72%
16%
12%
Red Bull Bragantino winDrawChapecoense win

Key Stats

0.60Points per game1.00
1.30Avg goals scored0.98
1.43Avg goals conceded2.40
0–3–2Record (W–D–L)1–2–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.7

Red Bull Bragantino xG

Expected goals

1

Chapecoense xG

59%

Both Teams to Score

71%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–0

9%

2–1

9%

3–0

8%

3–1

8%

1–0

7%

1–1

7%

Home

Red Bull Bragantino

Red Bull Bragantino

DDLLD

PPG

0.60

Avg goals

1.3 / 1.4

Last 5

0W 3D 2L

Away

Chapecoense

Chapecoense

DLDLW

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.0 / 2.4

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Red Bull Bragantino vs Chapecoense?

Red Bull Bragantino is favored with a 72% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Red Bull Bragantino's current form?

Red Bull Bragantino have recorded 0W 3D 2L in their last 5 matches (0.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.7.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–0 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 59%. Over 2.5 goals: 71%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Red Bull Bragantino Win72%
Draw16%
Chapecoense Win12%
BTTS59%
Over 2.571%