Match Analysis

PalmeirasvsFlamengo

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

45%
30%
25%
Palmeiras winDrawFlamengo win

Key Stats

2.20Points per game1.80
1.84Avg goals scored1.95
0.53Avg goals conceded0.74
3–2–0Record (W–D–L)2–3–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.2

Palmeiras xG

Expected goals

0.8

Flamengo xG

38%

Both Teams to Score

32%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–0

16%

0–0

14%

1–1

13%

0–1

11%

2–0

10%

2–1

8%

Home

Palmeiras

Palmeiras

DWWWD

PPG

2.20

Avg goals

1.8 / 0.5

Last 5

3W 2D 0L

Away

Flamengo

Flamengo

DWDWD

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

1.9 / 0.7

Last 5

2W 3D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Palmeiras vs Flamengo?

Palmeiras is favored with a 45% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Palmeiras's current form?

Palmeiras have recorded 3W 2D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (16% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 38%. Over 2.5 goals: 32%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Palmeiras Win45%
Draw30%
Flamengo Win25%
BTTS38%
Over 2.532%