Palmeirasvs
Flamengo
BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.2
Palmeiras xG
Expected goals
0.8
Flamengo xG
38%
Both Teams to Score
32%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–0
16%
0–0
14%
1–1
13%
0–1
11%
2–0
10%
2–1
8%
Home
Palmeiras
PPG
2.20
Avg goals
1.8 / 0.5
Last 5
3W 2D 0L
Away
Flamengo
PPG
1.80
Avg goals
1.9 / 0.7
Last 5
2W 3D 0L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Palmeiras vs Flamengo?
Palmeiras is favored with a 45% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Palmeiras's current form?
Palmeiras have recorded 3W 2D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.2.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (16% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 38%. Over 2.5 goals: 32%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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