Match Analysis

PalmeirasvsCoritiba

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

90%
7%
3%
Palmeiras winDrawCoritiba win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game0.40
1.80Avg goals scored1.13
0.62Avg goals conceded2.29
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)0–2–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

3.5

Palmeiras xG

Expected goals

0.5

Coritiba xG

38%

Both Teams to Score

76%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

3–0

13%

2–0

11%

4–0

11%

5–0

8%

3–1

7%

1–0

6%

Home

Palmeiras

Palmeiras

DWWDL

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.8 / 0.6

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Coritiba

Coritiba

DLLDL

PPG

0.40

Avg goals

1.1 / 2.3

Last 5

0W 2D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Palmeiras vs Coritiba?

Palmeiras is favored with a 90% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Palmeiras's current form?

Palmeiras have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 3.5.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 3–0 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 38%. Over 2.5 goals: 76%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Palmeiras Win90%
Draw7%
Coritiba Win3%
BTTS38%
Over 2.576%