Match Analysis

PalmeirasvsBahia

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

61%
25%
14%
Palmeiras winDrawBahia win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game1.40
1.81Avg goals scored1.39
0.62Avg goals conceded1.03
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.6

Palmeiras xG

Expected goals

0.6

Bahia xG

36%

Both Teams to Score

38%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–0

18%

2–0

14%

0–0

11%

1–1

11%

2–1

9%

3–0

8%

Home

Palmeiras

Palmeiras

DWWDL

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.8 / 0.6

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Bahia

Bahia

DLLWW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.4 / 1.0

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Palmeiras vs Bahia?

Palmeiras is favored with a 61% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Palmeiras's current form?

Palmeiras have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.6.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (18% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 36%. Over 2.5 goals: 38%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Palmeiras Win61%
Draw25%
Bahia Win14%
BTTS36%
Over 2.538%