Match Analysis

MirassolvsBotafogo

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

47%
27%
26%
Mirassol winDrawBotafogo win

Key Stats

1.80Points per game1.00
1.13Avg goals scored0.94
1.40Avg goals conceded1.44
2–3–0Record (W–D–L)1–2–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.4

Mirassol xG

Expected goals

1

Botafogo xG

48%

Both Teams to Score

43%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–0

13%

1–1

13%

0–0

9%

0–1

9%

2–0

9%

2–1

9%

Home

Mirassol

Mirassol

DDWDW

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

1.1 / 1.4

Last 5

2W 3D 0L

Away

Botafogo

Botafogo

DLLWD

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

0.9 / 1.4

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Mirassol vs Botafogo?

Mirassol is favored with a 47% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Mirassol's current form?

Mirassol have recorded 2W 3D 0L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 48%. Over 2.5 goals: 43%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Mirassol Win47%
Draw27%
Botafogo Win26%
BTTS48%
Over 2.543%