Match Analysis

MirassolvsAtlético-MG

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

26%
27%
47%
Mirassol winDrawAtlético-MG win

Key Stats

1.20Points per game2.20
1.25Avg goals scored1.51
1.21Avg goals conceded0.88
1–3–1Record (W–D–L)3–2–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1

Mirassol xG

Expected goals

1.4

Atlético-MG xG

48%

Both Teams to Score

43%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–1

13%

1–1

13%

0–0

9%

0–2

9%

1–0

9%

1–2

9%

Home

Mirassol

Mirassol

DLDWD

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

1.2 / 1.2

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Away

Atlético-MG

Atlético-MG

DWWDW

PPG

2.20

Avg goals

1.5 / 0.9

Last 5

3W 2D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Mirassol vs Atlético-MG?

Atlético-MG is favored with a 47% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Mirassol's current form?

Mirassol have recorded 1W 3D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 48%. Over 2.5 goals: 43%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Mirassol Win26%
Draw27%
Atlético-MG Win47%
BTTS48%
Over 2.543%