Match Analysis

MirassolvsAthletico-PR

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

24%
19%
57%
Mirassol winDrawAthletico-PR win

Key Stats

1.80Points per game1.20
1.13Avg goals scored2.32
1.40Avg goals conceded1.60
2–3–0Record (W–D–L)1–3–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.5

Mirassol xG

Expected goals

2.4

Athletico-PR xG

71%

Both Teams to Score

75%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–2

9%

1–1

7%

1–3

7%

2–2

7%

0–2

6%

0–1

5%

Home

Mirassol

Mirassol

DDWDW

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

1.1 / 1.4

Last 5

2W 3D 0L

Away

Athletico-PR

Athletico-PR

DDWDL

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

2.3 / 1.6

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Mirassol vs Athletico-PR?

Athletico-PR is favored with a 57% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Mirassol's current form?

Mirassol have recorded 2W 3D 0L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.5.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 71%. Over 2.5 goals: 75%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Mirassol Win24%
Draw19%
Athletico-PR Win57%
BTTS71%
Over 2.575%