Match Analysis

GrêmiovsPalmeiras

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

10%
21%
69%
Grêmio winDrawPalmeiras win

Key Stats

0.60Points per game1.60
0.98Avg goals scored1.81
1.34Avg goals conceded0.62
0–3–2Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.5

Grêmio xG

Expected goals

1.8

Palmeiras xG

33%

Both Teams to Score

40%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–1

18%

0–2

16%

0–0

10%

0–3

10%

1–1

9%

1–2

8%

Home

Grêmio

Grêmio

DDDLL

PPG

0.60

Avg goals

1.0 / 1.3

Last 5

0W 3D 2L

Away

Palmeiras

Palmeiras

DWWDL

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.8 / 0.6

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Grêmio vs Palmeiras?

Palmeiras is favored with a 69% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Grêmio's current form?

Grêmio have recorded 0W 3D 2L in their last 5 matches (0.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.5.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (18% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 33%. Over 2.5 goals: 40%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Grêmio Win10%
Draw21%
Palmeiras Win69%
BTTS33%
Over 2.540%