Match Analysis

GrêmiovsMirassol

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

30%
28%
42%
Grêmio winDrawMirassol win

Key Stats

0.60Points per game1.20
0.98Avg goals scored1.25
1.34Avg goals conceded1.21
0–3–2Record (W–D–L)1–3–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1

Grêmio xG

Expected goals

1.3

Mirassol xG

46%

Both Teams to Score

40%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–1

13%

1–1

13%

0–0

10%

1–0

10%

0–2

8%

1–2

8%

Home

Grêmio

Grêmio

DDDLL

PPG

0.60

Avg goals

1.0 / 1.3

Last 5

0W 3D 2L

Away

Mirassol

Mirassol

DLDWD

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

1.2 / 1.2

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Grêmio vs Mirassol?

Mirassol is favored with a 42% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Grêmio's current form?

Grêmio have recorded 0W 3D 2L in their last 5 matches (0.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 46%. Over 2.5 goals: 40%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Grêmio Win30%
Draw28%
Mirassol Win42%
BTTS46%
Over 2.540%