Match Analysis

GrêmiovsCruzeiro

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

26%
22%
52%
Grêmio winDrawCruzeiro win

Key Stats

0.60Points per game2.00
0.99Avg goals scored1.94
1.34Avg goals conceded1.54
0–3–2Record (W–D–L)3–1–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.3

Grêmio xG

Expected goals

1.9

Cruzeiro xG

62%

Both Teams to Score

62%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

10%

1–2

10%

0–1

8%

0–2

7%

2–1

7%

1–3

6%

Home

Grêmio

Grêmio

DDDLL

PPG

0.60

Avg goals

1.0 / 1.3

Last 5

0W 3D 2L

Away

Cruzeiro

Cruzeiro

DWWLW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

1.9 / 1.5

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Grêmio vs Cruzeiro?

Cruzeiro is favored with a 52% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Grêmio's current form?

Grêmio have recorded 0W 3D 2L in their last 5 matches (0.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 62%. Over 2.5 goals: 62%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Grêmio Win26%
Draw22%
Cruzeiro Win52%
BTTS62%
Over 2.562%