Match Analysis

FluminensevsSantos

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

53%
21%
26%
Fluminense winDrawSantos win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game1.60
1.82Avg goals scored1.72
1.13Avg goals conceded1.36
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.1

Fluminense xG

Expected goals

1.5

Santos xG

68%

Both Teams to Score

70%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

9%

2–1

9%

2–2

7%

1–0

6%

1–2

6%

2–0

6%

Home

Fluminense

Fluminense

DLWWL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.8 / 1.1

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Santos

Santos

DDWWL

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.7 / 1.4

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Fluminense vs Santos?

Fluminense is favored with a 53% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Fluminense's current form?

Fluminense have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 68%. Over 2.5 goals: 70%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Fluminense Win53%
Draw21%
Santos Win26%
BTTS68%
Over 2.570%