Match Analysis

FluminensevsMirassol

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

66%
19%
15%
Fluminense winDrawMirassol win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game1.80
1.82Avg goals scored1.13
1.13Avg goals conceded1.40
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)2–3–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.2

Fluminense xG

Expected goals

1

Mirassol xG

56%

Both Teams to Score

62%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–0

10%

2–1

10%

1–0

9%

1–1

9%

3–0

7%

3–1

7%

Home

Fluminense

Fluminense

DLWWL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.8 / 1.1

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Mirassol

Mirassol

DDWDW

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

1.1 / 1.4

Last 5

2W 3D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Fluminense vs Mirassol?

Fluminense is favored with a 66% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Fluminense's current form?

Fluminense have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–0 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 56%. Over 2.5 goals: 62%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Fluminense Win66%
Draw19%
Mirassol Win15%
BTTS56%
Over 2.562%