Match Analysis

FluminensevsCruzeiro

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

55%
19%
26%
Fluminense winDrawCruzeiro win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game2.00
1.82Avg goals scored1.94
1.13Avg goals conceded1.54
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)3–1–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.4

Fluminense xG

Expected goals

1.6

Cruzeiro xG

73%

Both Teams to Score

76%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–1

8%

1–1

7%

2–2

7%

3–1

7%

1–2

6%

2–0

5%

Home

Fluminense

Fluminense

DLWWL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.8 / 1.1

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Cruzeiro

Cruzeiro

DWWLW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

1.9 / 1.5

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Fluminense vs Cruzeiro?

Fluminense is favored with a 55% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Fluminense's current form?

Fluminense have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 73%. Over 2.5 goals: 76%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Fluminense Win55%
Draw19%
Cruzeiro Win26%
BTTS73%
Over 2.576%