Match Analysis

FluminensevsCoritiba

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

85%
9%
6%
Fluminense winDrawCoritiba win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game0.40
1.82Avg goals scored1.12
1.13Avg goals conceded2.29
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)0–2–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

3.6

Fluminense xG

Expected goals

1

Coritiba xG

61%

Both Teams to Score

84%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

3–0

8%

3–1

8%

2–0

7%

2–1

7%

4–0

7%

4–1

7%

Home

Fluminense

Fluminense

DLWWL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.8 / 1.1

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Coritiba

Coritiba

DLLDL

PPG

0.40

Avg goals

1.1 / 2.3

Last 5

0W 2D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Fluminense vs Coritiba?

Fluminense is favored with a 85% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Fluminense's current form?

Fluminense have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 3.6.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 3–0 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 61%. Over 2.5 goals: 84%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Fluminense Win85%
Draw9%
Coritiba Win6%
BTTS61%
Over 2.584%