Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2.2
Flamengo xG
Expected goals
0.5
Grêmio xG
35%
Both Teams to Score
51%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
2–0
16%
1–0
15%
3–0
12%
2–1
8%
0–0
7%
1–1
7%
Home
Flamengo
PPG
1.80
Avg goals
1.9 / 0.7
Last 5
2W 3D 0L
Away
Grêmio
PPG
0.60
Avg goals
1.0 / 1.3
Last 5
0W 3D 2L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Flamengo vs Grêmio?
Flamengo is favored with a 76% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Flamengo's current form?
Flamengo have recorded 2W 3D 0L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.2.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 2–0 (16% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 35%. Over 2.5 goals: 51%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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