Match Analysis

FlamengovsGrêmio

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

76%
16%
8%
Flamengo winDrawGrêmio win

Key Stats

1.80Points per game0.60
1.95Avg goals scored0.98
0.74Avg goals conceded1.34
2–3–0Record (W–D–L)0–3–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.2

Flamengo xG

Expected goals

0.5

Grêmio xG

35%

Both Teams to Score

51%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–0

16%

1–0

15%

3–0

12%

2–1

8%

0–0

7%

1–1

7%

Home

Flamengo

Flamengo

DWDWD

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

1.9 / 0.7

Last 5

2W 3D 0L

Away

Grêmio

Grêmio

DDDLL

PPG

0.60

Avg goals

1.0 / 1.3

Last 5

0W 3D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Flamengo vs Grêmio?

Flamengo is favored with a 76% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Flamengo's current form?

Flamengo have recorded 2W 3D 0L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–0 (16% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 35%. Over 2.5 goals: 51%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Flamengo Win76%
Draw16%
Grêmio Win8%
BTTS35%
Over 2.551%