Match Analysis

FlamengovsChapecoense

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

92%
5%
3%
Flamengo winDrawChapecoense win

Key Stats

1.80Points per game1.00
1.95Avg goals scored0.98
0.74Avg goals conceded2.40
2–3–0Record (W–D–L)1–2–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

4

Flamengo xG

Expected goals

0.5

Chapecoense xG

39%

Both Teams to Score

83%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

3–0

12%

4–0

12%

2–0

9%

5–0

9%

3–1

6%

4–1

6%

Home

Flamengo

Flamengo

DWDWD

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

1.9 / 0.7

Last 5

2W 3D 0L

Away

Chapecoense

Chapecoense

DLDLW

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.0 / 2.4

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Flamengo vs Chapecoense?

Flamengo is favored with a 92% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Flamengo's current form?

Flamengo have recorded 2W 3D 0L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 3–0 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 39%. Over 2.5 goals: 83%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Flamengo Win92%
Draw5%
Chapecoense Win3%
BTTS39%
Over 2.583%