Match Analysis

FlamengovsAtlético-MG

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

57%
24%
19%
Flamengo winDrawAtlético-MG win

Key Stats

1.80Points per game1.80
1.95Avg goals scored1.60
0.74Avg goals conceded1.02
2–3–0Record (W–D–L)2–3–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.7

Flamengo xG

Expected goals

0.9

Atlético-MG xG

49%

Both Teams to Score

48%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–0

13%

1–1

11%

2–0

11%

2–1

10%

0–0

7%

0–1

7%

Home

Flamengo

Flamengo

DWDWD

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

1.9 / 0.7

Last 5

2W 3D 0L

Away

Atlético-MG

Atlético-MG

DWDWD

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

1.6 / 1.0

Last 5

2W 3D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Flamengo vs Atlético-MG?

Flamengo is favored with a 57% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Flamengo's current form?

Flamengo have recorded 2W 3D 0L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.7.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 49%. Over 2.5 goals: 48%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Flamengo Win57%
Draw24%
Atlético-MG Win19%
BTTS49%
Over 2.548%