Match Analysis

FlamengovsAthletico-PR

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

67%
17%
16%
Flamengo winDrawAthletico-PR win

Key Stats

1.80Points per game1.20
1.95Avg goals scored2.32
0.74Avg goals conceded1.60
2–3–0Record (W–D–L)1–3–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.7

Flamengo xG

Expected goals

1.3

Athletico-PR xG

68%

Both Teams to Score

76%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–1

9%

3–1

8%

2–0

7%

1–1

6%

2–2

6%

3–0

6%

Home

Flamengo

Flamengo

DWDWD

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

1.9 / 0.7

Last 5

2W 3D 0L

Away

Athletico-PR

Athletico-PR

DDWDL

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

2.3 / 1.6

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Flamengo vs Athletico-PR?

Flamengo is favored with a 67% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Flamengo's current form?

Flamengo have recorded 2W 3D 0L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.7.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 68%. Over 2.5 goals: 76%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Flamengo Win67%
Draw17%
Athletico-PR Win16%
BTTS68%
Over 2.576%