Match Analysis

CruzeirovsBahia

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

41%
23%
36%
Cruzeiro winDrawBahia win

Key Stats

2.00Points per game1.40
1.94Avg goals scored1.39
1.54Avg goals conceded1.03
3–1–1Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.7

Cruzeiro xG

Expected goals

1.6

Bahia xG

65%

Both Teams to Score

64%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

10%

2–1

9%

1–2

8%

2–2

7%

0–1

6%

1–0

6%

Home

Cruzeiro

Cruzeiro

DWWLW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

1.9 / 1.5

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Away

Bahia

Bahia

DLLWW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.4 / 1.0

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Cruzeiro vs Bahia?

Cruzeiro is favored with a 41% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Cruzeiro's current form?

Cruzeiro have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.7.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 65%. Over 2.5 goals: 64%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Cruzeiro Win41%
Draw23%
Bahia Win36%
BTTS65%
Over 2.564%