Match Analysis

CoritibavsVitória

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

25%
20%
55%
Coritiba winDrawVitória win

Key Stats

0.40Points per game1.60
1.13Avg goals scored1.28
2.29Avg goals conceded1.47
0–2–3Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.4

Coritiba xG

Expected goals

2.2

Vitória xG

67%

Both Teams to Score

70%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–2

9%

1–1

8%

0–2

7%

1–3

7%

0–1

6%

2–1

6%

Home

Coritiba

Coritiba

DLLDL

PPG

0.40

Avg goals

1.1 / 2.3

Last 5

0W 2D 3L

Away

Vitória

Vitória

DWLDW

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.3 / 1.5

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Coritiba vs Vitória?

Vitória is favored with a 55% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Coritiba's current form?

Coritiba have recorded 0W 2D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 67%. Over 2.5 goals: 70%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Coritiba Win25%
Draw20%
Vitória Win55%
BTTS67%
Over 2.570%