Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.1
Coritiba xG
Expected goals
2.8
Santos xG
63%
Both Teams to Score
75%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–2
9%
0–2
8%
1–3
8%
0–3
7%
0–1
6%
1–1
6%
Home
Coritiba
PPG
0.60
Avg goals
1.0 / 2.1
Last 5
0W 3D 2L
Away
Santos
PPG
1.60
Avg goals
1.8 / 1.3
Last 5
2W 2D 1L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Coritiba vs Santos?
Santos is favored with a 73% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Coritiba's current form?
Coritiba have recorded 0W 3D 2L in their last 5 matches (0.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.1.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 63%. Over 2.5 goals: 75%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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