Match Analysis

CoritibavsSantos

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

12%
15%
73%
Coritiba winDrawSantos win

Key Stats

0.60Points per game1.60
0.96Avg goals scored1.76
2.09Avg goals conceded1.31
0–3–2Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.1

Coritiba xG

Expected goals

2.8

Santos xG

63%

Both Teams to Score

75%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–2

9%

0–2

8%

1–3

8%

0–3

7%

0–1

6%

1–1

6%

Home

Coritiba

Coritiba

DDLLD

PPG

0.60

Avg goals

1.0 / 2.1

Last 5

0W 3D 2L

Away

Santos

Santos

DLDWW

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.8 / 1.3

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Coritiba vs Santos?

Santos is favored with a 73% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Coritiba's current form?

Coritiba have recorded 0W 3D 2L in their last 5 matches (0.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 63%. Over 2.5 goals: 75%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Coritiba Win12%
Draw15%
Santos Win73%
BTTS63%
Over 2.575%