Match Analysis

CoritibavsGrêmio

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

30%
24%
46%
Coritiba winDrawGrêmio win

Key Stats

0.40Points per game0.60
1.13Avg goals scored0.98
2.29Avg goals conceded1.34
0–2–3Record (W–D–L)0–3–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.3

Coritiba xG

Expected goals

1.7

Grêmio xG

59%

Both Teams to Score

58%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

11%

1–2

9%

0–1

8%

0–2

7%

2–1

7%

1–0

6%

Home

Coritiba

Coritiba

DLLDL

PPG

0.40

Avg goals

1.1 / 2.3

Last 5

0W 2D 3L

Away

Grêmio

Grêmio

DDDLL

PPG

0.60

Avg goals

1.0 / 1.3

Last 5

0W 3D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Coritiba vs Grêmio?

Grêmio is favored with a 46% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Coritiba's current form?

Coritiba have recorded 0W 2D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 59%. Over 2.5 goals: 58%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Coritiba Win30%
Draw24%
Grêmio Win46%
BTTS59%
Over 2.558%