Match Analysis

CoritibavsFlamengo

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

3%
8%
89%
Coritiba winDrawFlamengo win

Key Stats

0.60Points per game1.80
0.96Avg goals scored2.09
2.09Avg goals conceded0.63
0–3–2Record (W–D–L)2–3–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.5

Coritiba xG

Expected goals

3.3

Flamengo xG

38%

Both Teams to Score

73%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–3

13%

0–2

12%

0–4

11%

0–1

7%

0–5

7%

1–3

7%

Home

Coritiba

Coritiba

DDLLD

PPG

0.60

Avg goals

1.0 / 2.1

Last 5

0W 3D 2L

Away

Flamengo

Flamengo

DDWDW

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

2.1 / 0.6

Last 5

2W 3D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Coritiba vs Flamengo?

Flamengo is favored with a 89% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Coritiba's current form?

Coritiba have recorded 0W 3D 2L in their last 5 matches (0.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.5.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–3 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 38%. Over 2.5 goals: 73%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Coritiba Win3%
Draw8%
Flamengo Win89%
BTTS38%
Over 2.573%