Match Analysis

CoritibavsBotafogo

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

33%
24%
43%
Coritiba winDrawBotafogo win

Key Stats

0.40Points per game1.00
1.13Avg goals scored0.94
2.29Avg goals conceded1.44
0–2–3Record (W–D–L)1–2–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.4

Coritiba xG

Expected goals

1.6

Botafogo xG

60%

Both Teams to Score

58%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

11%

1–2

9%

0–1

8%

2–1

8%

1–0

7%

0–2

6%

Home

Coritiba

Coritiba

DLLDL

PPG

0.40

Avg goals

1.1 / 2.3

Last 5

0W 2D 3L

Away

Botafogo

Botafogo

DLLWD

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

0.9 / 1.4

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Coritiba vs Botafogo?

Botafogo is favored with a 43% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Coritiba's current form?

Coritiba have recorded 0W 2D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 60%. Over 2.5 goals: 58%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Coritiba Win33%
Draw24%
Botafogo Win43%
BTTS60%
Over 2.558%