Match Analysis

CorinthiansvsVitória

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

25%
22%
53%
Corinthians winDrawVitória win

Key Stats

0.00Points per game1.60
1.01Avg goals scored1.28
2.02Avg goals conceded1.47
0–0–5Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.3

Corinthians xG

Expected goals

2

Vitória xG

63%

Both Teams to Score

64%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

10%

1–2

10%

0–1

7%

0–2

7%

1–3

6%

2–1

6%

Home

Corinthians

Corinthians

LLLLL

PPG

0.00

Avg goals

1.0 / 2.0

Last 5

0W 0D 5L

Away

Vitória

Vitória

DWLDW

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.3 / 1.5

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Corinthians vs Vitória?

Vitória is favored with a 53% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Corinthians's current form?

Corinthians have recorded 0W 0D 5L in their last 5 matches (0.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 63%. Over 2.5 goals: 64%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Corinthians Win25%
Draw22%
Vitória Win53%
BTTS63%
Over 2.564%