Match Analysis

CorinthiansvsMirassol

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

27%
24%
49%
Corinthians winDrawMirassol win

Key Stats

0.00Points per game1.80
1.01Avg goals scored1.13
2.02Avg goals conceded1.40
0–0–5Record (W–D–L)2–3–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.2

Corinthians xG

Expected goals

1.7

Mirassol xG

57%

Both Teams to Score

55%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

11%

1–2

10%

0–1

9%

0–2

8%

1–0

7%

2–1

7%

Home

Corinthians

Corinthians

LLLLL

PPG

0.00

Avg goals

1.0 / 2.0

Last 5

0W 0D 5L

Away

Mirassol

Mirassol

DDWDW

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

1.1 / 1.4

Last 5

2W 3D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Corinthians vs Mirassol?

Mirassol is favored with a 49% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Corinthians's current form?

Corinthians have recorded 0W 0D 5L in their last 5 matches (0.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 57%. Over 2.5 goals: 55%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Corinthians Win27%
Draw24%
Mirassol Win49%
BTTS57%
Over 2.555%