Match Analysis

CorinthiansvsGrêmio

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

30%
26%
44%
Corinthians winDrawGrêmio win

Key Stats

0.00Points per game0.60
1.01Avg goals scored0.98
2.02Avg goals conceded1.34
0–0–5Record (W–D–L)0–3–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.2

Corinthians xG

Expected goals

1.5

Grêmio xG

54%

Both Teams to Score

51%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

12%

0–1

10%

1–2

9%

0–2

8%

1–0

8%

0–0

7%

Home

Corinthians

Corinthians

LLLLL

PPG

0.00

Avg goals

1.0 / 2.0

Last 5

0W 0D 5L

Away

Grêmio

Grêmio

DDDLL

PPG

0.60

Avg goals

1.0 / 1.3

Last 5

0W 3D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Corinthians vs Grêmio?

Grêmio is favored with a 44% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Corinthians's current form?

Corinthians have recorded 0W 0D 5L in their last 5 matches (0.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 54%. Over 2.5 goals: 51%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Corinthians Win30%
Draw26%
Grêmio Win44%
BTTS54%
Over 2.551%