Match Analysis

CorinthiansvsFluminense

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

11%
15%
74%
Corinthians winDrawFluminense win

Key Stats

0.00Points per game1.40
1.01Avg goals scored1.82
2.02Avg goals conceded1.13
0–0–5Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1

Corinthians xG

Expected goals

2.8

Fluminense xG

59%

Both Teams to Score

73%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–2

9%

1–2

9%

0–3

8%

1–3

8%

0–1

6%

0–4

6%

Home

Corinthians

Corinthians

LLLLL

PPG

0.00

Avg goals

1.0 / 2.0

Last 5

0W 0D 5L

Away

Fluminense

Fluminense

DLWWL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.8 / 1.1

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Corinthians vs Fluminense?

Fluminense is favored with a 74% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Corinthians's current form?

Corinthians have recorded 0W 0D 5L in their last 5 matches (0.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–2 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 59%. Over 2.5 goals: 73%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Corinthians Win11%
Draw15%
Fluminense Win74%
BTTS59%
Over 2.573%