Match Analysis

CorinthiansvsBotafogo

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

33%
26%
41%
Corinthians winDrawBotafogo win

Key Stats

0.00Points per game1.00
1.01Avg goals scored0.94
2.02Avg goals conceded1.44
0–0–5Record (W–D–L)1–2–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.3

Corinthians xG

Expected goals

1.4

Botafogo xG

55%

Both Teams to Score

51%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

12%

0–1

9%

1–0

9%

1–2

9%

2–1

8%

0–0

7%

Home

Corinthians

Corinthians

LLLLL

PPG

0.00

Avg goals

1.0 / 2.0

Last 5

0W 0D 5L

Away

Botafogo

Botafogo

DLLWD

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

0.9 / 1.4

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Corinthians vs Botafogo?

Botafogo is favored with a 41% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Corinthians's current form?

Corinthians have recorded 0W 0D 5L in their last 5 matches (0.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 55%. Over 2.5 goals: 51%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Corinthians Win33%
Draw26%
Botafogo Win41%
BTTS55%
Over 2.551%