Chapecoensevs
Palmeiras
BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model0.4
Chapecoense xG
Expected goals
3.1
Palmeiras xG
31%
Both Teams to Score
68%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–2
15%
0–3
15%
0–4
12%
0–1
9%
0–5
7%
1–2
6%
Home
Chapecoense
PPG
0.40
Avg goals
0.8 / 2.2
Last 5
0W 2D 3L
Away
Palmeiras
PPG
2.20
Avg goals
1.8 / 0.5
Last 5
3W 2D 0L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Chapecoense vs Palmeiras?
Palmeiras is favored with a 89% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Chapecoense's current form?
Chapecoense have recorded 0W 2D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.4.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–2 (15% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 31%. Over 2.5 goals: 68%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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