Match Analysis

ChapecoensevsPalmeiras

BRA Brazilian Série A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

3%
8%
89%
Chapecoense winDrawPalmeiras win

Key Stats

0.40Points per game2.20
0.84Avg goals scored1.84
2.20Avg goals conceded0.53
0–2–3Record (W–D–L)3–2–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.4

Chapecoense xG

Expected goals

3.1

Palmeiras xG

31%

Both Teams to Score

68%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–2

15%

0–3

15%

0–4

12%

0–1

9%

0–5

7%

1–2

6%

Home

Chapecoense

Chapecoense

DLLDL

PPG

0.40

Avg goals

0.8 / 2.2

Last 5

0W 2D 3L

Away

Palmeiras

Palmeiras

DWWWD

PPG

2.20

Avg goals

1.8 / 0.5

Last 5

3W 2D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Chapecoense vs Palmeiras?

Palmeiras is favored with a 89% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Chapecoense's current form?

Chapecoense have recorded 0W 2D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–2 (15% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 31%. Over 2.5 goals: 68%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Chapecoense Win3%
Draw8%
Palmeiras Win89%
BTTS31%
Over 2.568%